{"id":"W1969764636","doi":"10.1038/nature10581","title":"Reconstructed changes in Arctic sea ice over the past 1,450 years","year":2011,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Nature","topic":"Geology and Paleoclimatology Research","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":355,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Université du Québec à Montréal; Geological Survey of Canada","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada","keywords":"Arctic sea ice decline; Sea ice; Arctic ice pack; Oceanography; Arctic; Arctic dipole anomaly; Climatology; Arctic geoengineering; Drift ice; Geology; Climate change; Arctic ecology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002761153,0.00006857986,0.0000929536,0.00007986407,0.00007104086,0.000008834657,0.0002534594,0.0006368341,0.006087315],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00006557205,0.00004479273,0.00002055782,0.0002544995,0.0001863012,0.00005115747,0.00001245948,0.001767602,0.0003375045],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":7.074304e-7,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002336507,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0005111978,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.04812761,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9992442,0.000150397,0.00006718514,0.0001582702,0.0001071954,0.000272812],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995707,0.0001792076,0.00002618566,0.0001576151,0.00002225158,0.00004402936],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00003523252,0.000004760406,0.9973537,0.000007078639,0.00000842127,0.00005361216,0.0003182356,0.000001292459,7.868187e-7,0.0000756188,0.0005166132,0.001624606],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001433579,0.00003123433,0.9967868,0.000007315562,0.000004129653,0.00007693782,0.000099171,0.00006732256,0.000009289477,0.0009685826,0.001747974,0.0000578629],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9830132,0.001186516,1.249926e-7,0.001154028,0.0003401219,0.00009636693,0.00001490651,0.00001484551,0.01417992],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9985299,0.00007681351,0.00009075606,0.0009873551,0.00006151112,0.000001264036,0.00002720752,0.000001474233,0.0002237168],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.04761641,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9948213,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01861286325515603,"score_gpt":0.2349765175566162,"score_spread":0.2163636543014602,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}