{"id":"W1980183533","doi":"10.1007/s00382-006-0118-8","title":"The nonlinear association between the Arctic Oscillation and North American winter climate","year":2006,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Climate Dynamics","topic":"Climate variability and models","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":26,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Victoria; University of British Columbia","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; Northwestern University","keywords":"Arctic oscillation; Climatology; North Atlantic oscillation; Geopotential height; Anomaly (physics); Antarctic oscillation; Arctic; Geology; Extratropical cyclone; Latitude; Northern Hemisphere; Environmental science; Geography; Oceanography; Precipitation; Meteorology; El Niño Southern Oscillation","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007576952,0.0001316509,0.0001360115,0.00001035831,0.0006607868,0.0001372464,0.0001805857,0.00004361289,0.00002064323],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00006649427,0.00008269148,0.00005215165,0.000213693,0.0003191966,0.0001422763,0.0002509209,0.0001648156,0.00009101701],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004956334,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000004098847,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0006255634,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01282597,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9986874,0.00009818521,0.0002843745,0.0002490037,0.0002515741,0.0004294537],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.998978,0.0004524838,0.0002300713,0.0002807061,0.00001750478,0.00004128153],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000008200108,0.00001624891,0.9953628,0.000007122933,0.000007415612,2.595196e-7,0.00007854118,0.002144849,0.00001164464,0.0002474198,0.000047994,0.002067488],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00009905336,0.00002719752,0.8361241,0.000003806528,0.00003894498,0.000001154123,0.00007966878,0.1614952,0.000001485585,0.0005947785,0.001431452,0.0001031586],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.99524,0.000007549358,0.0001567767,0.001961793,0.00008779028,0.0002148619,0.0001565582,0.00004352157,0.002131103],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9988939,0.0003593696,0.0002725018,0.0001372337,0.00009040971,0.00001119455,0.0001400648,0.00001570553,0.00007968581],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1593503,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.7157195,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.007577987282694496,"score_gpt":0.2197841112143706,"score_spread":0.2122061239316761,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}