{"id":"W1983804570","doi":"10.1007/s10584-008-9460-7","title":"Predicted changes in fire weather suggest increases in lightning fire initiation and future area burned in the mixedwood boreal forest","year":2008,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Climatic Change","topic":"Fire effects on ecosystems","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":133,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Natural Resources Canada; Canadian Forest Service; Université Laval","funders":"Canadian Forest Service; University of Alberta","keywords":"Boreal; Environmental science; Lightning (connector); Taiga; Fire regime; Climatology; Climate change; Atmospheric sciences; Meteorology; Ecosystem; Geography; Ecology; Forestry; Geology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004246479,0.0002751516,0.000186145,0.0004281387,0.0003750011,0.0006557085,0.0003260007,0.0003878348,0.002634868],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0009214344,0.0002415099,0.00045141,0.0002762195,0.0002764914,0.0004307648,0.0002167473,0.0003719373,0.0002110265],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004421293,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002162144,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01907813,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0440267,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998983,0.00001955225,0.00000889693,0.00003789138,0.00001133973,0.00002400575],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.99925,0.0001857301,0.0002637895,0.00003773145,0.0001054173,0.0001573261],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002818169,0.00004029888,0.9956622,0.000008922753,0.00004845079,0.00006105655,0.00004289368,0.0008694183,0.001548444,0.00003936584,0.0001235059,0.001273761],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000009825245,0.000031496,0.9969969,0.000001341168,0.00001565817,0.00008228718,0.00008304092,0.002482183,0.0001694036,0.00005331243,0.00007154561,0.000002942596],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9992716,0.00003982392,0.0001251661,0.00004250371,0.000005359229,0.000001561615,0.0001884504,0.00001268206,0.0003128337],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9996315,0.00001273534,0.00008932746,0.00001090377,0.000005458616,0.000001122826,0.0001815328,0.000001511784,0.00006593532],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01907813,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03793418,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02190273704153834,"score_gpt":0.219000395260057,"score_spread":0.1970976582185187,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}