{"id":"W1986615360","doi":"10.1007/s12197-007-9024-0","title":"The J-Curve: Evidence from commodity trade between Canada and the U.S.","year":2008,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Economics and Finance","topic":"Global trade and economics","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":34,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Depreciation (economics); Balance of trade; Cointegration; Economics; Liberian dollar; Commodity; International economics; Short run; Us dollar; Monetary economics; International trade; Exchange rate; Econometrics; Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008946565,0.0001465591,0.0005509175,0.00002801283,0.0004367465,0.0001083255,0.0004016151,0.00006596902,0.000004963426],"category_scores_gemma":[0.000138422,0.000107221,0.0001017374,0.00004796667,0.0003725541,0.0003299282,0.00007134213,0.0002845668,0.000004023337],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001114352,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001353885,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.06403226,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.07043974,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9986053,0.00002453547,0.000920421,0.0002004447,0.00002011672,0.0002291992],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9979037,0.0007908263,0.0009599873,0.0002533064,0.00001725856,0.00007490964],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003088841,0.00003156361,0.7270779,0.00001254836,0.0003417048,0.00002328468,0.0009926087,0.0009902578,5.84016e-7,0.2500345,0.01282171,0.007364487],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001370322,0.00005658693,0.6463423,0.00002358866,0.00001661566,0.00008645075,0.00006051556,0.002353565,0.00001304179,0.06761084,0.2818532,0.0002129792],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9669531,0.02097827,0.00004411534,0.01084727,0.0004839953,0.00008880097,0.000201131,0.000001655285,0.0004016977],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8800953,0.1189886,0.0001600006,0.0004221105,0.0002699615,0.00000217345,0.00000122932,0.000009240017,0.0000513159],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2690315,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9465223,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07360894862459111,"score_gpt":0.19529891149533,"score_spread":0.1216899628707389,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}