{"id":"W1987935497","doi":"10.1016/j.geoforum.2007.10.018","title":"Returns from a speculation","year":2008,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Geoforum","topic":"Historical Geography and Geographical Thought","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"","keywords":"Speculation; Economics; Keynesian economics; Financial economics; Neoclassical economics; Macroeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["sts","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003160578,0.00006505234,0.00009703905,0.00006176837,0.001532347,0.00001480905,0.0001428426,0.0001123918,0.001021676],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001057845,0.00006229689,0.0001273718,0.0008852824,0.0002729898,0.0001194656,0.00004097928,0.0001148784,0.0002255485],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00002657113,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00003648213,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002510894,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001439844,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9986716,0.00008585233,0.0001193453,0.0001726896,0.0003197429,0.0006308041],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995528,0.00007702174,0.00003628359,0.0001404219,0.00004154889,0.0001518601],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00007815343,0.0003065299,0.4472313,0.000004726217,0.00008713961,0.0001626283,0.03268774,0.00001708003,0.0001668704,0.3995516,0.0930225,0.02668372],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000105894,0.00001443566,0.05089013,0.000003422169,0.000005679137,5.39595e-7,0.0004943159,0.000005720994,0.00001303604,0.0225569,0.925806,0.000103963],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.4311235,0.001508565,0.002296025,0.006764275,0.001407827,0.0002867055,0.00003278947,0.0004244677,0.5561559],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9934083,0.0003479006,0.0008343227,0.0003970742,0.0005004589,0.000005996503,0.00001724746,0.00000505726,0.00448362],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.8327835,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9998915,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03192515250965681,"score_gpt":0.2675962524095322,"score_spread":0.2356710998998754,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}