{"id":"W1990990266","doi":"10.1371/journal.pone.0006852","title":"Early Epidemiological Assessment of the Virulence of Emerging Infectious Diseases: A Case Study of an Influenza Pandemic","year":2009,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"PLoS ONE","topic":"Influenza Virus Research Studies","field":"Medicine","cited_by":150,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Marsden Fund; Nederlandse Organisatie voor Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek; Massey University","keywords":"Outbreak; Case fatality rate; Pandemic; Epidemiology; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Virulence; Demography; Infectious disease (medical specialty); Medicine; Disease; Biology; Virology; Internal medicine","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0006248598,0.0001494077,0.0007704775,0.0001202685,0.0000994958,0.000003324671,0.0001719261,0.00005994165,0.00002193789],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001974454,0.00009253618,0.0001021831,0.000365997,0.0002208028,0.00009449937,0.0001412984,0.0003247406,8.194193e-7],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00007276345,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001118898,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0007716513,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00004826895,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9976858,0.0004309406,0.0006666078,0.0002389935,0.0007228706,0.0002547963],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9982163,0.0003793698,0.0003205678,0.0005769974,0.0003932305,0.0001135436],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001621103,0.00939626,0.963789,0.0002039562,0.0004443528,0.000105424,0.001670088,0.00007616761,0.02308476,0.00003496925,0.00000370321,0.001029174],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.002082141,0.005337713,0.9882022,0.0003427044,0.0004784831,0.00002444563,0.001525641,0.0005438201,0.001215803,0.0001621886,0.000001567046,0.00008331461],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9982487,0.0003153936,0.000007052774,0.00004955137,0.00000990728,0.001128864,0.00002051341,0.00003444623,0.0001855785],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9993733,0.00006913129,0.0002355486,0.0002262591,0.00003484977,0.00004372684,6.509247e-7,0.000008393245,0.000008098278],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02441314,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3773516,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1854074853399727,"score_gpt":0.436508083509442,"score_spread":0.2511005981694693,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}