{"id":"W1991924918","doi":"10.1016/j.spl.2008.01.064","title":"Prediction intervals for future records","year":2008,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Statistics & Probability Letters","topic":"Statistical Distribution Estimation and Applications","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":44,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"McMaster University","funders":"National Atmospheric Research Laboratory; National Center for Atmospheric Research","keywords":"Mathematics; Sequence (biology); Statistics; Distribution (mathematics); Random variable; Mathematical analysis","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.006532673,0.000678711,0.001027085,0.002250275,0.0004938542,0.002179005,0.002106983,0.00109793,0.005133788],"category_scores_gemma":[0.04884657,0.0003665108,0.0008982667,0.001892918,0.0005989167,0.004741216,0.001096963,0.002275398,0.001193165],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005487631,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006338421,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002400011,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001158697,"domain_scores_codex":[0.997719,0.0004856582,0.0001779233,0.0008930036,0.0005672648,0.0001572117],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9689181,0.02243936,0.002190752,0.003999994,0.002056877,0.0003949317],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001217324,0.0002161876,0.03809516,0.0003702249,0.0004159415,0.0004014111,0.000514383,0.330707,0.002226511,0.1384844,0.01168637,0.4756651],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002877603,0.0001016576,0.006077674,0.00007800806,0.00009427003,0.0002252497,0.00007885906,0.8839617,0.001741181,0.1051501,0.002417478,0.00004496881],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"methods","genre_scores_codex":[0.07153022,0.001940966,0.9179865,0.0008273743,0.0003074703,0.00006925189,0.001864638,0.001432047,0.004041623],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8838357,0.001485044,0.1050288,0.0001501097,0.0005471257,0.0001687828,0.004565333,0.0001448832,0.00407427],"genre_candidate":"methods","genre_consensus":"methods","teacher_disagreement_score":0.006532673,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03454846,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1093437393751823,"score_gpt":0.3395956389341372,"score_spread":0.230251899558955,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}