{"id":"W1992833571","doi":"10.1051/0004-6361/201322020","title":"Beginning of activity in 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko and predictions for 2014–2015","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Astronomy and Astrophysics","topic":"Astro and Planetary Science","field":"Physics and Astronomy","cited_by":85,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory; Canadian Space Agency; York University; Carnegie Mellon University; National Astronomical Observatory of Japan; University of Arizona; Office of Science; Johns Hopkins University; College of Engineering, Michigan State University; Harvard University; Ohio State University; New Mexico State University; University of Portsmouth; Yale University; Vanderbilt University; National Science Foundation; University of Washington; Alfred P. Sloan Foundation; National Aeronautics and Space Administration; Princeton University; Brookhaven National Laboratory; European Commission; U.S. Department of Energy","keywords":"Comet; Brightness; Physics; Astronomy; Exoplanet; Orbit (dynamics); Comet nucleus; Astrophysics; Astrobiology; Planet; Aerospace engineering","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007533894,0.0003382649,0.0003005075,0.001158557,0.0003617928,0.00107612,0.0004326993,0.0004389546,0.00195566],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001371116,0.0001916441,0.0008107117,0.0004924465,0.0003217499,0.0007718207,0.0008319962,0.0004584777,0.001030718],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00209153,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004079883,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02648084,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02384776,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997808,0.0000229034,0.00001363221,0.00008020877,0.0000383802,0.00006414897],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9990922,0.00009370862,0.0002739934,0.00005309671,0.0002101606,0.0002767118],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003699737,0.00007999103,0.9559479,0.0001119615,0.0002143515,0.0003776731,0.0005110365,0.01439079,0.003156028,0.003514613,0.008184269,0.01314153],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000007242543,0.00004167239,0.9856668,0.00003934671,0.00002903686,0.00006405634,0.0002050731,0.008397044,0.0007950817,0.0003609313,0.004378318,0.0000154843],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9836865,0.001526837,0.0007430089,0.0007187718,0.00006613699,0.00001739631,0.006471711,0.00008407867,0.006685613],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9877039,0.0003683583,0.0002324091,0.0000523219,0.00004445566,0.00001017656,0.01059754,0.0000298018,0.000960998],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02648084,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.05265337,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.006444633787027055,"score_gpt":0.2087560983014334,"score_spread":0.2023114645144063,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}