{"id":"W1995107638","doi":"10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2003.11.010","title":"The gypsy moth life stage model: landscape-wide estimates of gypsy moth establishment using a multi-generational phenology model","year":2004,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Ecological Modelling","topic":"Fire effects on ecosystems","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":94,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Natural Resources Canada; Canadian Forest Service","funders":"","keywords":"Gypsy moth; Phenology; Range (aeronautics); PEST analysis; Lymantria dispar; Ecology; Diapause; Climate change; Geography; Larva; Biology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007466409,0.0003277691,0.0004233333,0.00005196995,0.0004960214,0.00008866101,0.0005249573,0.0002356969,0.0001641547],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002532838,0.00023181,0.0001320397,0.0001981432,0.0002663646,0.0003238323,0.0003099462,0.0003007322,0.00005389944],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000389199,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00009896342,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0003137211,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0002044218,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9974329,0.0001050754,0.000659381,0.000628164,0.0004876928,0.0006867209],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9986254,0.0004339621,0.000285525,0.0004088607,0.00003443609,0.0002118351],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00003695654,0.0003057286,0.003532202,0.00001487554,0.00002454941,0.000005973245,0.0002241081,0.9907352,0.003379283,0.001602386,0.00003516609,0.0001035566],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0007636987,0.0001123427,0.0003088643,0.00001710984,0.00002382745,0.000004011196,0.00006269734,0.9925187,0.001146851,0.004763299,0.00001339842,0.000265183],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.4981937,0.00009329233,0.5007859,0.0001561768,0.00007002309,0.0003344056,0.00001838109,0.00005749658,0.0002906182],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8353182,0.00003760949,0.1641811,0.0002326592,0.00003569389,0.00005967186,0.00001120691,0.00003123186,0.0000926014],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.3371245,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9452935,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04086445215434036,"score_gpt":0.2529758255821065,"score_spread":0.2121113734277661,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}