{"id":"W1998964655","doi":"10.1371/journal.pone.0072311","title":"An Absolute Risk Model to Identify Individuals at Elevated Risk for Pancreatic Cancer in the General Population","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"PLoS ONE","topic":"Pancreatic and Hepatic Oncology Research","field":"Medicine","cited_by":149,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto; Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute; Cancer Care Ontario; Mount Sinai Hospital","funders":"National Cancer Institute; National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; Instituto de Salud Carlos III; Medical Research Council; University of California, San Francisco; University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center; University of California, Los Angeles; National Institutes of Health; National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences; Hellenic Health Foundation; European Commission; University of Colorado Denver; Deutsche Krebshilfe; Yale University; University of Toronto; University of Pittsburgh; British Heart Foundation; Deutsches Krebsforschungszentrum; Ligue Contre le Cancer; Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung; National Institute on Aging; National Institute for Health and Care Research; Pancreatic Cancer Canada Foundation; Cancer Research UK; Wellcome Trust; Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center; Johns Hopkins University; Lustgarten Foundation; American Cancer Society; Henry Ford Health System; Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale; University of Minnesota; World Cancer Research Fund; Stavros Niarchos Foundation; Georgetown University; U.S. Public Health Service; Associazione Italiana per la Ricerca sul Cancro; State of Connecticut Department of Public Health; U.S. Department of Health and Human Services; Mayo Clinic","keywords":"Pancreatic cancer; Absolute risk reduction; Population; Medicine; Cancer; Oncology; Internal medicine; Environmental health","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008310973,0.0001380091,0.0004639311,0.0001502728,0.0001768379,0.0000333397,0.0001747301,0.000128455,0.000321933],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0004345214,0.00009626797,0.00004986255,0.0002261674,0.0000358929,0.0001242212,0.000039909,0.0002376042,0.0001167422],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002237588,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00007393948,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.008263666,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001274318,"domain_scores_codex":[0.998257,0.0002152975,0.0003484033,0.000287726,0.0004782812,0.0004132426],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9989503,0.0001953914,0.0001234652,0.0004161514,0.0001677389,0.000146965],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001366784,0.0007007978,0.9811599,0.0000737451,0.0002856802,0.00000149656,0.001225752,0.000414711,0.01401033,0.00002830771,0.001109037,0.0008536091],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001128283,0.0002758614,0.7318222,0.00008071939,0.0006294216,9.395894e-7,0.00005706733,0.2644177,0.000349431,0.00114669,0.00000641545,0.00008531819],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9951612,0.0001287759,0.0003827392,0.001091082,0.00001475747,0.002898826,0.0001504956,0.00003377108,0.0001383923],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9845597,0.0003688205,0.01066439,0.0005387632,0.000178986,0.001989825,0.0001409073,0.00002714237,0.001531519],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.264003,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9983404,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1009470762510654,"score_gpt":0.3910914176703952,"score_spread":0.2901443414193298,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}