{"id":"W1998964655","doi":"10.1371/journal.pone.0072311","title":"An Absolute Risk Model to Identify Individuals at Elevated Risk for Pancreatic Cancer in the General Population","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"PLoS ONE","topic":"Pancreatic and Hepatic Oncology Research","field":"Medicine","cited_by":149,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto; Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute; Cancer Care Ontario; Mount Sinai Hospital","funders":"National Cancer Institute; National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; Instituto de Salud Carlos III; Medical Research Council; University of California, San Francisco; University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center; University of California, Los Angeles; National Institutes of Health; National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences; Hellenic Health Foundation; European Commission; University of Colorado Denver; Deutsche Krebshilfe; Yale University; University of Toronto; University of Pittsburgh; British Heart Foundation; Deutsches Krebsforschungszentrum; Ligue Contre le Cancer; Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung; National Institute on Aging; National Institute for Health and Care Research; Pancreatic Cancer Canada Foundation; Cancer Research UK; Wellcome Trust; Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center; Johns Hopkins University; Lustgarten Foundation; American Cancer Society; Henry Ford Health System; Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale; University of Minnesota; World Cancer Research Fund; Stavros Niarchos Foundation; Georgetown University; U.S. Public Health Service; Associazione Italiana per la Ricerca sul Cancro; State of Connecticut Department of Public Health; U.S. Department of Health and Human Services; Mayo Clinic","keywords":"Pancreatic cancer; Absolute risk reduction; Population; Medicine; Cancer; Oncology; Internal medicine; Environmental health","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01172589,0.001312843,0.002452957,0.001488348,0.0005644584,0.001656333,0.003274063,0.001560706,0.005130445],"category_scores_gemma":[0.02181531,0.0007960974,0.003037236,0.0009187358,0.0007368269,0.001190187,0.001505518,0.003228109,0.0008951264],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001047721,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001368561,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01109185,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00613205,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9960018,0.002730114,0.0001474231,0.0007558538,0.0002094942,0.0001552884],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9893371,0.008825322,0.000596824,0.0004318338,0.000599494,0.0002095181],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.002472965,0.0004476466,0.1559449,0.0005209162,0.004742467,0.0007554088,0.0004723486,0.7323039,0.0006938211,0.02140541,0.009169503,0.07107072],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000171739,0.0003303169,0.007596735,0.00008902296,0.0007707374,0.0003643208,0.00006741617,0.9732941,0.0001416053,0.01468963,0.002442569,0.00004171639],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.2989708,0.004289487,0.6802105,0.004391628,0.0006393652,0.0004583255,0.005203478,0.001293749,0.004542681],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8744792,0.001008177,0.1112907,0.001221918,0.00027947,0.0007453263,0.003883702,0.0001958844,0.006895528],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.01172589,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.06201315,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1009470762510654,"score_gpt":0.3910914176703952,"score_spread":0.2901443414193298,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}