{"id":"W2000676356","doi":"10.1016/j.jmoneco.2013.11.002","title":"Voluntary sovereign debt exchanges","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Monetary Economics","topic":"Global Financial Crisis and Policies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":74,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"McMaster University","funders":"","keywords":"Internal debt; Sovereign default; External debt; Debt levels and flows; Debt overhang; Recourse debt; Debt-to-GDP ratio; Debt; Debt restructuring; Economics; Monetary economics; Senior debt; Government debt; Financial system; Business; Finance; Sovereignty; Sovereign debt","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003659946,0.0001772179,0.0005947976,0.0002438497,0.00006964627,0.00009982399,0.0003623825,0.0001140033,0.001377371],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00004459948,0.0001886526,0.0002820039,0.00008310618,0.00005033637,0.0007617822,0.00005685522,0.000206527,0.001226366],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001141304,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002802858,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0009256057,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00004612429,"domain_scores_codex":[0.998401,0.00001198395,0.001070017,0.0001797372,0.00002608368,0.0003111654],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9985732,0.00004400417,0.0009131481,0.0002411273,0.00006399076,0.0001644619],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00008687303,0.0002797857,0.2507332,0.00005916984,0.0004697153,0.0000248302,0.001222425,0.003270157,0.00005070221,0.5594423,0.1703928,0.01396816],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0009289516,0.0004140529,0.3029833,0.00002672737,0.00002532771,0.000129522,0.0003554909,0.001874795,0.0001241908,0.5314294,0.1611696,0.0005386877],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9562528,0.007105548,0.0001321067,0.001795574,0.001059336,0.000112881,0.00007858709,0.000009254954,0.03345391],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9919814,0.003651171,0.001554271,0.00154225,0.0007425212,0.000003745079,0.000005508934,0.0000243879,0.0004947226],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.05225014,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9995513,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0210960791171714,"score_gpt":0.1910686270633826,"score_spread":0.1699725479462112,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}