{"id":"W2001362003","doi":"10.1080/02699930701739849","title":"Causal uncertainty and metacognitive inferences about goal attainment","year":2008,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Cognition & Emotion","topic":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":12,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Queen's University","funders":"","keywords":"Psychology; Feeling; Task (project management); Cognitive psychology; Metacognition; Social psychology; Cognition; Causal inference; Metamemory; Developmental psychology; Econometrics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001175029,0.0001968359,0.0003172544,0.0002912687,0.0004630873,0.0002459801,0.0002050683,0.0001242735,0.0008308059],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001303641,0.0001575403,0.0001087735,0.0003654623,0.0003099394,0.0006281547,0.000110021,0.0001700236,0.0008402508],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00006074324,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00008412994,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00003768533,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00004310489,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9975091,0.0002186027,0.0006477483,0.0006031623,0.0007702531,0.0002511796],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9979684,0.0007220331,0.000300743,0.0002404952,0.0006022963,0.0001660779],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00009228379,0.0001961262,0.01094552,0.000003279497,0.00002500973,0.00004176515,0.001152489,0.000116803,0.0004484493,0.0004041277,0.002386576,0.9841875],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.002921959,0.0008474237,0.6034935,0.0001968526,0.0002261406,0.0004304254,0.006042066,0.006741326,0.001805398,0.3633468,0.01286385,0.001084259],"study_design_candidate":"design_other","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9871747,0.00008881193,0.006095357,0.0003105827,0.0005064817,0.0002242069,0.00007467043,0.00006579279,0.00545934],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.998399,0.0001553483,0.0004709706,0.0003417452,0.0001336493,0.00002023703,0.0000595886,0.00001063277,0.0004088316],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.9831033,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999377,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1735759490122128,"score_gpt":0.3853860977493752,"score_spread":0.2118101487371624,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}