{"id":"W2003321925","doi":"10.1006/bulm.2002.0317","title":"Simulating the Effect of Quarantine on the Spread of the 1918–19 Flu in Central Canada","year":2003,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Bulletin of Mathematical Biology","topic":"Animal Disease Management and Epidemiology","field":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences","cited_by":120,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Quarantine; Infectious disease (medical specialty); Population; Disease control; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Geography; Disease; Demography; Business; Medicine; Biology; Environmental health; Ecology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001045855,0.0001098895,0.0003333166,0.000004907012,0.00006085956,0.000001916634,0.0003550155,0.00006379459,0.0009761003],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002807057,0.00002447602,0.000118681,0.0001227664,0.0002741024,0.000002432615,0.00007547546,0.0001087848,0.000005934055],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000009854904,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000009956127,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01905368,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.007096088,"domain_scores_codex":[0.998192,0.0009153897,0.0004073835,0.0001360916,0.0001055594,0.0002436127],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9935066,0.006137752,0.0002055828,0.00010584,0.00001707838,0.00002712527],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0005370187,0.0003468191,0.4067327,0.0003981142,0.0001427777,0.000003628162,0.0001670347,0.0004486226,0.02742356,0.5416162,0.01718113,0.005002412],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001523393,0.003452312,0.8498456,0.000561604,0.0001981979,0.000008027824,0.001549466,0.001941984,0.01924382,0.03604965,0.08504511,0.0005808276],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9863642,0.00007284575,0.000003783882,0.007803358,0.00004278285,0.0003351336,0.00001331638,0.000003574935,0.005360937],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9994431,0.000005693962,0.00001712802,0.0004308857,0.00001961253,0.000009347602,0.000002467347,7.430664e-7,0.00007105105],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.5055665,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999371,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01638433728135799,"score_gpt":0.2258945772189046,"score_spread":0.2095102399375466,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}