{"id":"W2003567591","doi":"10.1111/1475-6803.t01-1-00020","title":"Are Expected Inflation Rates and Expected Real Rates Negatively Correlated? A Long‐Run Test of the Mundell‐Tobin Hypothesis","year":2002,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"The Journal of Financial Research","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":11,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Regina","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Cointegration; Inflation (cosmology); Fisher hypothesis; Real interest rate; Monetary economics; Interest rate; Econometrics; Index (typography); Keynesian economics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002220306,0.0001529325,0.0004630038,0.000379381,0.0003650026,0.00006789308,0.0004953328,0.0001366678,0.0003599825],"category_scores_gemma":[0.004693497,0.0001073626,0.0001273332,0.0006132135,0.0003806368,0.0003278118,0.0001035406,0.0006573925,0.00007040194],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001381825,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00004932718,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0008611922,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001984918,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9981408,0.0002308284,0.000934468,0.0001626793,0.0001352502,0.0003960488],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.996546,0.001614999,0.001265251,0.0003084537,0.0001653505,0.0000999722],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0008828494,0.0005591139,0.9402647,0.00009262977,0.0002356529,0.00003001355,0.01937576,0.001935984,0.002549308,0.002565794,0.02507745,0.006430708],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0007676076,0.000276125,0.9857101,0.0000860303,0.00001202778,0.0000417341,0.0003152677,0.004680442,0.001514462,0.005998346,0.0004678683,0.0001299719],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9940352,0.001992726,0.00002498522,0.001844436,0.0001268513,0.000231748,0.00005433856,0.000005053622,0.001684626],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9962012,0.002435457,0.00004903754,0.00007984681,0.0001983376,0.000004061378,5.602336e-7,0.00001879061,0.001012693],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.04544539,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.5618894,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2033918712387528,"score_gpt":0.3009020674428886,"score_spread":0.09751019620413579,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}