{"id":"W2006416330","doi":"10.1007/s00704-014-1311-z","title":"Arctic temperature trends from the early nineteenth century to the present","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Theoretical and Applied Climatology","topic":"Climate change and permafrost","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":14,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"York University","funders":"","keywords":"Arctic; Climatology; Climate change; The arctic; Environmental science; Physical geography; Period (music); Global warming; Geography; Oceanography; Geology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002436315,0.0001585551,0.0002069046,0.00002159966,0.0002788196,0.00009040759,0.0003142548,0.0001014352,0.006862483],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00002138001,0.00007175778,0.00004330817,0.0001409686,0.0005398226,0.00002012117,0.00005868151,0.0002518133,0.0004298488],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000001262468,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000004034136,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0004211347,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000812016,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9988784,0.0001391284,0.0001625006,0.0002877011,0.0001491105,0.0003831146],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9985243,0.0009876932,0.00003095117,0.0002914661,0.00001237326,0.0001532049],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0005324395,0.00004062611,0.2650934,0.00002025022,0.00005285838,0.000006854064,0.003309023,0.00003814172,0.0003245028,0.6516501,0.007752049,0.07117976],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000784106,0.000276828,0.8165483,0.00002431002,0.0001036013,0.00005462938,0.0009779992,0.001126284,0.0001767135,0.06757664,0.1119349,0.0004157124],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9561669,0.0004200319,0.00001260907,0.02512397,0.0002311643,0.0001535174,0.0004642087,0.00002758814,0.01740003],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9941491,0.0001674136,0.00002586111,0.004748766,0.0004650597,0.000007359694,0.0003952507,0.000004948179,0.0000362004],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.5840734,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9940454,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.009297335935167511,"score_gpt":0.2123821949510576,"score_spread":0.2030848590158901,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}