{"id":"W2014498235","doi":"10.1098/rsbl.2011.0779","title":"Predicting ecosystem shifts requires new approaches that integrate the effects of climate change across entire systems","year":2011,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Biology Letters","topic":"Species Distribution and Climate Change","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":133,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"Natural Environment Research Council; Sight Research UK","keywords":"Ecosystem; Climate change; Abiotic component; Ecology; Biology; Environmental change; Macroecology; Environmental resource management; Biodiversity; Environmental science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002029072,0.0008836127,0.001215861,0.002224348,0.0007916518,0.002099767,0.001655788,0.001179085,0.003453527],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00825408,0.0006394126,0.001326099,0.001870719,0.001068313,0.007341336,0.001761031,0.001940666,0.0003980791],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001878933,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001566413,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02920442,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0437611,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994441,0.0002721534,0.0000520074,0.0001407267,0.00006196793,0.00002901347],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9966729,0.001994891,0.0004426487,0.000482262,0.0002411979,0.0001660276],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00005507722,0.0001659793,0.09550532,0.0004735218,0.0006002774,0.00008891587,0.0002447845,0.7719358,0.002898603,0.0226285,0.002117746,0.1032856],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001906617,0.0001254672,0.04698728,0.0001136314,0.0002140539,0.0001134458,0.001106768,0.7710801,0.0008418165,0.1707498,0.008512849,0.0001356677],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.238014,0.005527552,0.729115,0.008061066,0.0003428617,0.0004356489,0.003601969,0.000973737,0.0139282],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.7627075,0.006759852,0.2265099,0.0007810589,0.0003496903,0.0003918516,0.001253844,0.0002116142,0.001034619],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.02920442,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.05806887,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.09481687779412463,"score_gpt":0.2503303530827622,"score_spread":0.1555134752886376,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}