{"id":"W2016209757","doi":"10.1080/01621459.2013.859076","title":"Estimating the Lifetime Risk of Dementia in the Canadian Elderly Population Using Cross-Sectional Cohort Survival Data","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of the American Statistical Association","topic":"Statistical Methods and Inference","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":44,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McGill University","funders":"National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases","keywords":"Dementia; Population; Cohort; Estimation; Stratified sampling; Estimator; Cross-sectional study; Epidemiology; Cohort study; Medicine; Gerontology; Demography; Statistics; Environmental health; Economics; Mathematics; Disease","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaresearch"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.005614559,0.0001052227,0.0003135607,0.00005837191,0.0003121329,0.000171721,0.0006312759,0.00004583801,0.0001129742],"category_scores_gemma":[0.02983424,0.00005490945,0.00006290981,0.0003286945,0.0001594284,0.0001626085,0.00007109417,0.0004834299,0.000002936083],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003801336,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002100396,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.1202514,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01086292,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9963935,0.001473946,0.0008727,0.0001262177,0.0008950148,0.000238613],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9885244,0.008429274,0.002228896,0.0003308658,0.0004158705,0.00007064372],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000008726463,0.00003535487,0.9884475,0.000007459889,0.0001177968,7.85097e-7,0.00008799783,0.0004096439,0.00001773233,0.006876052,0.0006436957,0.003347236],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001123838,0.00005364549,0.8214784,0.0000175753,0.0001517243,0.000006343994,0.00006777985,0.06916691,0.000001410586,0.1088813,0.0000084803,0.00005408486],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8178567,0.000007707673,0.1807204,0.0004471089,0.0003107552,0.0002280158,0.0002956772,0.000002686867,0.0001308936],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.7944309,0.000002039843,0.2053151,0.00008399965,0.0001424803,0.000002587711,0.000007774125,0.000008305432,0.000006767817],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1669691,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9783379,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07705459751595742,"score_gpt":0.4031104678716724,"score_spread":0.3260558703557149,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}