{"id":"W2016372348","doi":"10.1142/s0219024900000711","title":"A MODEL OF STOCK MARKET BUBBLE UNDER UNCERTAIN FUNDAMENTALS","year":2000,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance","topic":"Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Simon Fraser University","funders":"","keywords":"Bubble; Econometrics; Economics; Stock market; Economic bubble; Stock market bubble; Stock price; Market price; Financial economics; Computer science; Microeconomics; Series (stratigraphy); Monetary economics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003428938,0.00009472422,0.0003571057,0.00009906726,0.00003054643,0.00003879303,0.0002679484,0.0000458556,0.003806302],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0000132184,0.00008620655,0.0001313217,0.0000782464,0.0002040227,0.00008141374,0.00004184002,0.0001008912,0.00001992307],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00003985698,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00001469833,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.000016601,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000001294593,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9989576,0.000007125245,0.0006815147,0.0001425754,0.00009445904,0.0001167251],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993774,0.0000480521,0.0003677489,0.00009999757,0.00006166167,0.00004510613],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002074763,0.00007521373,0.0002934875,0.000007436137,0.0001206914,0.000001980872,0.00007030682,0.005828939,0.00009332565,0.9878644,0.0004345071,0.005002258],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0008391012,0.0000820577,0.001272625,0.00004390331,0.0000160903,0.00003062321,0.00005987053,0.07305487,0.0001621738,0.914049,0.01022893,0.0001607295],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8662016,0.001073089,0.01591474,0.001988373,0.0001520307,0.00009329947,0.0001711847,0.000005479712,0.1144002],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9954295,0.0004387415,0.00190176,0.0001837772,0.00007871934,0.000002631507,0.000001626251,0.000008137225,0.001955143],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1292279,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9971043,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0212560081080674,"score_gpt":0.2293565147186222,"score_spread":0.2081005066105548,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}