{"id":"W2021465288","doi":"10.2478/cer-2014-0011","title":"Nowcasting Quarterly GDP Dynamics in the Euro Area – The Role of Sentiment Indicators","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Comparative Economic Research Central and Eastern Europe","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":6,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Nowcasting; Volatility (finance); Econometrics; Real gross domestic product; Quarter (Canadian coin); Economics; Sample (material); Geography; Meteorology; Chemistry","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002271659,0.0001764834,0.0004066015,0.0002557493,0.0002054167,0.0001761354,0.0005966785,0.0000420062,0.0001153252],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00004571392,0.0001296261,0.00007249258,0.0001814506,0.0003365962,0.0002271962,0.0001105098,0.0003904916,0.0004200933],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001307136,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002190319,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0008509964,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0004095669,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9979087,0.0003309571,0.0006758308,0.0003977554,0.000052866,0.0006339472],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9988044,0.0003847733,0.0002832736,0.0003955501,0.00001253694,0.0001194699],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001177479,0.0001696692,0.6992221,0.00003265595,0.0001277107,0.000003186314,0.01607442,0.002973871,0.00001304772,0.2706592,0.001157237,0.009449066],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0006771478,0.0003767372,0.215365,0.00002766283,0.000005613293,0.00001234191,0.003525696,0.7296256,0.00003867468,0.01678544,0.03330034,0.0002596839],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9408563,0.0005728077,0.0001375113,0.0009064187,0.0001307388,0.0003125491,0.0001245723,0.000005798847,0.05695324],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9992324,0.00008268759,0.00001534903,0.00009861998,0.0001374997,0.00001299416,0.00001863188,0.00001387256,0.0003879394],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.7266517,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.5399589,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1435026823575147,"score_gpt":0.3030702320927179,"score_spread":0.1595675497352033,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}