{"id":"W2021465288","doi":"10.2478/cer-2014-0011","title":"Nowcasting Quarterly GDP Dynamics in the Euro Area – The Role of Sentiment Indicators","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Comparative Economic Research Central and Eastern Europe","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":6,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Nowcasting; Volatility (finance); Econometrics; Real gross domestic product; Quarter (Canadian coin); Economics; Sample (material); Geography; Meteorology; Chemistry","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002876574,0.0004787174,0.0004700764,0.0009709802,0.0001239578,0.001897675,0.0003324917,0.0005458039,0.0009514155],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0101801,0.0001915478,0.0004471068,0.0009135325,0.0002110092,0.0012125,0.0005265619,0.0007699453,0.0003092637],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000381011,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003151489,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0101917,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.007673801,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9996125,0.000146928,0.00003313075,0.0001058654,0.00006561384,0.00003598861],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9968147,0.001618407,0.0006870287,0.000295425,0.0004510963,0.0001333284],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001067599,0.0001379515,0.5290763,0.0003175114,0.0009651683,0.0005915449,0.00111875,0.3302211,0.00599644,0.007149885,0.008062895,0.1152949],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00005808577,0.0002706992,0.5033718,0.0001945879,0.0003027815,0.0001720043,0.0007242654,0.478286,0.003204895,0.0048036,0.008525697,0.0000856011],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9865212,0.0009456257,0.006956212,0.0005889421,0.0001969467,0.00001461898,0.001372925,0.000141621,0.003261915],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9963599,0.0004962748,0.0008935473,0.00003686594,0.00006640042,0.000003813638,0.001614798,0.00003563372,0.0004928184],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.0101917,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02026474,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1435026823575147,"score_gpt":0.3030702320927179,"score_spread":0.1595675497352033,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}