{"id":"W2024265699","doi":"10.1192/bjp.190.5.s60","title":"Precision of actuarial risk assessment instruments","year":2007,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"The British Journal of Psychiatry","topic":"Psychopathy, Forensic Psychiatry, Sexual Offending","field":"Psychology","cited_by":350,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Simon Fraser University","funders":"","keywords":"Actuarial science; Risk assessment; Computer science; Risk analysis (engineering); Statistics; Medicine; Economics; Mathematics; Computer security","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.004702138,0.0002738927,0.0005714422,0.000390568,0.0004444612,0.0001461338,0.001056207,0.000226632,0.0005747302],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001324822,0.0002381428,0.0004284697,0.0006836207,0.0002453777,0.0002708813,0.00009114583,0.001267238,0.00004121949],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00007961004,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001967777,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0004547615,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0004690645,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9959064,0.0004580073,0.001785535,0.0003139779,0.00093704,0.0005990074],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9961638,0.0003120603,0.002427577,0.0005972942,0.0002559623,0.0002432411],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001725902,0.001484215,0.1359565,0.00002834259,0.0008775852,0.00009025392,0.0008392981,0.0000138744,0.0003264791,0.004020091,0.5378445,0.316793],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.007136494,0.001813522,0.936923,0.0008011638,0.0003919509,0.005047847,0.004317557,0.000009709493,0.00008866589,0.02735892,0.01568,0.0004311588],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7384362,0.002130646,0.00380873,0.0004669322,0.2283143,0.0002592283,0.00003505915,0.0000222467,0.0265266],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9802924,0.0003816785,0.01208583,0.0002965429,0.006657387,0.000002737455,0.000003682954,0.00006248352,0.0002172174],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.8009666,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9711181,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01385833838484217,"score_gpt":0.322414416745358,"score_spread":0.3085560783605158,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}