{"id":"W2025582394","doi":"10.5751/es-04794-170210","title":"Strengthening Environmental Foresight: Potential Contributions of Futures Research","year":2012,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Ecology and Society","topic":"Sustainability and Climate Change Governance","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":76,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Futures studies; Futures contract; Ecology; Environmental resource management; Political science; Economics; Biology; Financial economics; Computer science","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.07911711,0.001607928,0.001476373,0.004334681,0.003510876,0.01154842,0.003005397,0.009187159,0.02688042],"category_scores_gemma":[0.1393265,0.000734047,0.001381438,0.004374733,0.01430291,0.02717832,0.01301238,0.006115053,0.002384569],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.007638331,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.02457801,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.006490544,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.007194731,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9630336,0.02978878,0.0006889236,0.001325838,0.003528078,0.00163475],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.8338335,0.1195371,0.005260456,0.01363272,0.01621226,0.01152389],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002367047,0.0001993392,0.001840071,0.001204473,0.0001409165,0.000218253,0.001732461,0.008106221,0.000224537,0.6620811,0.08579052,0.2382253],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00004638915,0.0000512042,0.0004014727,0.0009912589,0.00002592765,0.00005343011,0.001816627,0.002345123,0.0001770631,0.8990321,0.09501094,0.00004834619],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"commentary","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.006643911,0.07519556,0.04839059,0.7258857,0.00584082,0.0002189538,0.0004980963,0.0003792781,0.1369471],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.6799914,0.1540789,0.106836,0.03801788,0.006689596,0.0007652719,0.0006843452,0.0002647656,0.0126718],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.07911711,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.4184163,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01514797491685041,"score_gpt":0.2804735173158661,"score_spread":0.2653255423990157,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}