{"id":"W2027828969","doi":"10.1016/j.jpubeco.2015.04.001","title":"New parties and policy outcomes: Evidence from Colombian local governments","year":2015,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Public Economics","topic":"Fiscal Policies and Political Economy","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":20,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Swenson College of Science and Engineering, University of Minnesota Duluth; Université du Québec à Montréal; Princeton University","keywords":"Incentive; Regression discontinuity design; Economics; Politics; Revenue; Public economics; Local government; Ideology; Tax revenue; Competition (biology); Public good; Political economy; Political science; Market economy; Public administration; Law; Microeconomics; Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008333478,0.0001852313,0.0006959751,0.0002097072,0.00005000755,0.0003032586,0.0003883261,0.0001338342,0.0002244546],"category_scores_gemma":[0.000874051,0.0001907159,0.0001667415,0.00008898196,0.0001449637,0.00123791,0.0001518068,0.0002235394,0.0002150839],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0007226908,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003844383,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003664047,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0002709155,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9980932,0.00002467305,0.001198184,0.000223312,0.00004444326,0.0004161466],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9976386,0.0002276918,0.0008653316,0.0002524272,0.00005483479,0.0009611514],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00003430501,0.00006540895,0.4021645,0.000009849286,0.0002262233,0.000004048337,0.0007664699,0.00009286251,6.647292e-7,0.5652065,0.02364661,0.007782498],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001969428,0.0004048066,0.1742157,0.00003189957,0.00001974219,0.00003303511,0.0009260876,0.001134956,0.00001747974,0.408254,0.4125858,0.0004069936],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9285722,0.002871376,0.004857445,0.04725285,0.00102391,0.0001046834,0.0001825598,0.00001379095,0.01512115],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9928975,0.0005831938,0.001632818,0.002707846,0.0008049654,0.000001927996,0.000002342727,0.00002440474,0.001345037],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3889392,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.7777168,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1065991576016336,"score_gpt":0.2695161325800753,"score_spread":0.1629169749784418,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}