{"id":"W2030234659","doi":"10.1016/j.jmoneco.2009.06.009","title":"Perhaps the 1970s FOMC did what it said it did","year":2009,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Monetary Economics","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":40,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Bank of Canada","funders":"University of Toronto","keywords":"Monetary policy; Inflation (cosmology); Economics; Open market operation; Monetary economics; Keynesian economics; Inflation targeting; Interest rate; Macroeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003525914,0.0003769709,0.0003950316,0.001506115,0.00527904,0.006847341,0.0007528217,0.00863474,0.01904631],"category_scores_gemma":[0.02234339,0.0002624369,0.0004688303,0.001235023,0.004168534,0.00390117,0.001347499,0.009486834,0.003758889],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.01189607,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.007842847,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.1424727,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.1255257,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9976025,0.00033095,0.00005345497,0.000414504,0.0006926668,0.0009060341],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9921428,0.001262732,0.0005697958,0.0006159452,0.003669598,0.001739047],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001465296,0.00006236709,0.004501182,0.00004761177,0.00003127911,0.0002792543,0.001298283,0.0002124366,0.0002916247,0.2885616,0.6725386,0.03202927],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0000424347,0.0000379354,0.003307339,0.0001325051,0.00001660116,0.00007953138,0.0008787874,0.0002393436,0.0008989536,0.02102173,0.9732911,0.00005380038],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"commentary","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.01879672,0.003257517,0.001733952,0.8271415,0.01876267,0.00003282431,0.0003737697,0.0001803802,0.1297207],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.3087702,0.002368353,0.00204363,0.3347003,0.009355072,0.00005251804,0.0002557067,0.0003350483,0.3421191],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.1424727,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2832869,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.06688075269741096,"score_gpt":0.2252724517409331,"score_spread":0.1583916990435221,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}