{"id":"W2032827588","doi":"10.1007/s11538-005-9047-7","title":"Generality of the Final Size Formula for an Epidemic of a Newly Invading Infectious Disease","year":2006,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Bulletin of Mathematical Biology","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":277,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"McMaster University","funders":"","keywords":"Mathematics; Basic reproduction number; Generality; Epidemic model; Applied mathematics; Infectious disease (medical specialty); Statistics; Statistical physics; Disease; Demography; Population; Medicine; Physics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.004931902,0.0009985061,0.001423356,0.00254592,0.001091333,0.00338829,0.003363948,0.002338729,0.009457038],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0323729,0.0006380244,0.001915155,0.0009573988,0.003667305,0.00880045,0.00289841,0.004745779,0.001254228],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001939573,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001364492,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003002632,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001391225,"domain_scores_codex":[0.998886,0.0003389645,0.00007609174,0.0002151604,0.0002617596,0.0002220566],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9853919,0.009711361,0.001041753,0.001391501,0.001499578,0.0009639311],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002435755,0.00001550657,0.0006406117,0.00006509633,0.00002087596,0.0001759015,0.0001594568,0.004466678,0.0009149014,0.9868544,0.002912989,0.003749223],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002658844,0.00001829488,0.0006533622,0.00001816068,0.00002727395,0.0003659,0.00004563017,0.05065531,0.000279564,0.9458212,0.002067682,0.00002114901],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1886846,0.003027862,0.6707441,0.01855273,0.0008818692,0.0001627142,0.000906721,0.0008062622,0.1162332],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9089633,0.002670435,0.03581847,0.001976135,0.001628936,0.0002496315,0.0006422826,0.0004508979,0.0475999],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.009457038,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03163701,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1952605004496295,"score_gpt":0.4020164851021554,"score_spread":0.2067559846525259,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}