{"id":"W2037321486","doi":"10.3189/172756405781813663","title":"Model simulation of the effects of climate variability and change on lake ice in central Alaska, USA","year":2005,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Annals of Glaciology","topic":"Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":41,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"International Arctic Research Center, University of Alaska, Fairbanks; National Science Foundation","keywords":"Snow; Climatology; Climate change; Cryosphere; Geology; Environmental science; Arctic ice pack; Snow cover; Atmospheric sciences; Sea ice; Physical geography; Oceanography; Geomorphology; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003990432,0.0005325893,0.0004160258,0.0004971694,0.0007249708,0.0007759213,0.0008705736,0.0007677989,0.002207582],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0009804775,0.0003330841,0.0005496832,0.000620122,0.0004889673,0.0004290236,0.0003975305,0.000440755,0.0001505984],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00320155,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002581996,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.5023335,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.3938695,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998883,0.00002958771,0.000006057134,0.00002666077,0.00001863708,0.00003074289],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995314,0.000183797,0.00004583337,0.00002075681,0.0001484315,0.00006971832],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00009214478,0.00005193867,0.01458154,0.00001654783,0.00004645533,0.00005663486,0.00002688823,0.9834878,0.0002951207,0.0002283977,0.0003664592,0.0007501424],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00008681929,0.00007475417,0.009587117,0.000006954374,0.00003504811,0.000009009831,0.00007888246,0.9891946,0.0003036137,0.0001561707,0.0004524137,0.00001446446],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.994905,0.00005326053,0.0005939032,0.00008423893,0.0000123037,0.00002078516,0.001359744,0.0000964728,0.00287432],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9981415,0.00003257833,0.0004590086,0.0000174176,0.000002058543,0.0000275153,0.0006442509,0.000006821051,0.0006688664],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.5023335,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9988192,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03327073480907718,"score_gpt":0.2730228110698897,"score_spread":0.2397520762608125,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}