{"id":"W2039463482","doi":"10.1051/forest:2005018","title":"Predicting balsam fir growth reduction caused by spruce budworm using large-scale historical records of defoliation","year":2005,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Annals of Forest Science","topic":"Fire effects on ecosystems","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":21,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Ministère des Ressources naturelles et des Forêts (Québec); Université Laval","funders":"","keywords":"Balsam; Spruce budworm; Abies balsamea; Forestry; Choristoneura fumiferana; Scale (ratio); Environmental science; Biology; Botany; Geography; PEST analysis; Cartography; Tortricidae","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001761818,0.0001349487,0.0002226537,0.0001121583,0.0002308368,0.00002117046,0.0004286861,0.00007300129,0.00006997679],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0003669618,0.0001311168,0.00006845646,0.001008871,0.0003237766,0.001206597,0.0001344562,0.0001024661,0.00002238258],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005285713,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00004830416,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003965877,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0007235932,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9977444,0.00005639948,0.0004816537,0.0004172314,0.0008550457,0.0004452583],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9989626,0.00005688335,0.0004499655,0.0002976903,0.00008645191,0.000146349],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00003108239,0.0003349309,0.5071844,0.00005679117,0.000007121091,8.085697e-7,0.0007913375,0.007367474,0.4744543,0.0000901938,0.006108399,0.00357325],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0004218647,0.0004320004,0.4234636,0.0001553068,0.00002170147,0.00002041442,0.0001273284,0.3137305,0.2585003,0.0003862649,0.002364745,0.0003759035],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9965158,0.00008155267,0.001499041,0.0003957465,0.0004140449,0.0002228513,0.00001364636,0.00003250198,0.0008248525],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.997904,0.00002011181,0.001784253,0.00004063189,0.00009507051,0.000005927242,0.000002486062,0.00001145335,0.0001360743],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3063631,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.5995246,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02045489910982281,"score_gpt":0.2652591235047839,"score_spread":0.2448042243949611,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}