{"id":"W2041552725","doi":"10.2466/pr0.106.3.891-900","title":"Predicting Long-Term Citation Impact of Articles in Social and Personality Psychology","year":2010,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Psychological Reports","topic":"scientometrics and bibliometrics research","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":37,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Citation; Variance (accounting); Impact factor; Psychology; Personality; Sample (material); Social psychology; Library science; Political science; Accounting; Computer science; Law","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaresearch","bibliometrics"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01543407,0.00009901307,0.0002776894,0.00782798,0.0000984334,0.000261546,0.0003636181,0.0002021291,0.0008872549],"category_scores_gemma":[0.02916351,0.00006194475,0.0001351699,0.02885924,0.0003587687,0.0002182436,0.0001475945,0.0004096328,0.000007761621],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00002113116,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002988167,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00009148393,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00005874521,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9956189,0.000194236,0.0008591706,0.0006843508,0.002277925,0.0003654417],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9969754,0.001355132,0.0004179468,0.0003732632,0.0006738834,0.0002043555],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0000340848,0.0002452891,0.9077713,0.000001437314,0.000004299805,0.00009724526,0.0001395441,5.489461e-7,0.01236631,0.00005855727,0.0002758855,0.07900553],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002310514,0.0002024047,0.9800879,0.000001878026,0.000001682441,0.0001519723,0.00002645255,0.00009358757,0.00006794994,0.01905497,0.00001437381,0.00006578576],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9949904,0.00006839845,0.000242847,0.0003750894,0.0003056178,0.0001429367,0.000005064587,0.00001271507,0.003856952],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9995242,0.0000172858,0.0002859255,0.00004904776,0.00007294772,0.000006510786,0.000001582217,0.000003742516,0.00003872601],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.07893975,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9917828,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.6770501935078974,"score_gpt":0.6678924215649938,"score_spread":0.00915777194290357,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}