{"id":"W2045286429","doi":"10.1002/sim.3751","title":"Assessment of risks by predicting counterfactuals","year":2009,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Statistics in Medicine","topic":"Risk and Safety Analysis","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":41,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Robarts Clinical Trials; Western University","funders":"","keywords":"Counterfactual conditional; Econometrics; Computer science; Statistics; Mathematics; Psychology; Counterfactual thinking","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.109729,0.002054706,0.001867072,0.002695924,0.0006472344,0.005041418,0.002293689,0.002611335,0.003445528],"category_scores_gemma":[0.3246563,0.0006488851,0.002836979,0.001842833,0.003357789,0.00627928,0.003710803,0.003850252,0.0006037186],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001306764,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001754711,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0007554219,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0004909638,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9043729,0.07725,0.003977449,0.004789881,0.009116684,0.0004931065],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.5889267,0.353874,0.02615592,0.02504889,0.005454713,0.0005396412],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001399722,0.0004148735,0.04867256,0.001442689,0.001810082,0.0005146425,0.001312767,0.203392,0.001655279,0.5068813,0.003824683,0.2286794],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002008762,0.001442838,0.009861045,0.000949086,0.0007906961,0.001002873,0.0003753813,0.3481295,0.004296827,0.6226126,0.01000956,0.0003287231],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"methods","genre_scores_codex":[0.03551266,0.001652598,0.9556909,0.001427111,0.000265098,0.000631723,0.0005044509,0.0003050372,0.004010391],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.5771996,0.001866161,0.4165442,0.0006636854,0.0002213753,0.001903222,0.0006286242,0.00008630722,0.0008867822],"genre_candidate":"methods","genre_consensus":"methods","teacher_disagreement_score":0.109729,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.5803094,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1114300245422262,"score_gpt":0.4985533649301178,"score_spread":0.3871233403878916,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}