{"id":"W2045946907","doi":"10.1561/100.00007024","title":"A Theory of Policy Expertise","year":2008,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Quarterly Journal of Political Science","topic":"Electoral Systems and Political Participation","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":103,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Kellogg's (Canada)","funders":"","keywords":"Political science; Positive economics; Epistemology; Economics; Mathematical economics; Law and economics; Philosophy","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.004431398,0.0005919746,0.0007494017,0.002460703,0.002627803,0.00492071,0.001733792,0.004234017,0.02519555],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01234456,0.0003875439,0.001001033,0.002233465,0.01019932,0.007487704,0.003551635,0.002999539,0.003253551],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003911742,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.003067417,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002186254,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001113083,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9958429,0.002006055,0.0001252973,0.0006511119,0.0008753188,0.0004994706],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9935542,0.004431379,0.0003940277,0.0006873559,0.0006041559,0.000328792],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000001666153,0.000003478481,0.00004804126,0.00001337076,0.000002561911,0.00001225893,0.0001104273,0.0008219663,0.00001783936,0.995461,0.001176452,0.002330987],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000007024381,0.000004112506,0.0000550221,0.00001911396,0.000002154218,0.00002199943,0.00004980721,0.001811283,0.00002132388,0.9841753,0.01383059,0.000002250581],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.01338585,0.002993208,0.2739292,0.03763108,0.0003752355,0.000123829,0.0003441169,0.0001410487,0.6710764],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8664776,0.003597206,0.05129909,0.005271615,0.001927301,0.0004849393,0.0002669058,0.0001040436,0.07057118],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.02519555,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.08428746,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05331897072260033,"score_gpt":0.3794748567377618,"score_spread":0.3261558860151614,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}