{"id":"W2047875665","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.888112","title":"How Do Canadian Budget Forecasts Compare With Those of Other Industrial Countries?","year":2005,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":21,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Business","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009326582,0.0001754988,0.0004021741,0.0003161487,0.0001509612,0.0001277645,0.0003058836,0.000119148,0.0001510249],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00003632716,0.0001698586,0.0001017997,0.000146299,0.00008577592,0.0003929514,0.00001532712,0.0009514808,0.00009633147],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001296177,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001126221,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01056303,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.1570402,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9975699,0.00001581014,0.000437367,0.0002208636,0.00004226185,0.001713794],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9991063,0.00002312535,0.0004370706,0.0001949824,0.00003454964,0.0002039251],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00008459355,0.00003193802,0.08090316,0.000004488063,0.0001913968,0.000001317323,0.0002635445,0.0000822613,7.598967e-7,0.9129996,0.002091317,0.003345587],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.003640974,0.0005558785,0.002559483,0.00004718788,0.00002394183,0.0002678376,0.0008014083,0.0005792141,0.00007907367,0.5058076,0.4850411,0.0005962677],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9033968,0.005468394,0.001061823,0.01787689,0.0003914278,0.0003289705,0.0004117317,0.00002300142,0.07104089],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9971472,0.0001854614,0.00006682008,0.0004663416,0.0007713651,0.000004194198,0.000004958231,0.00003235321,0.001321303],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4829498,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9960257,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02854961609970123,"score_gpt":0.2063796799910924,"score_spread":0.1778300638913912,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}