{"id":"W2047962660","doi":"10.2298/pan1003303g","title":"Random walk theory and exchange rate dynamics in transition economies","year":2010,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Panoeconomicus","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":13,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Lakehead University","funders":"Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada","keywords":"Random walk; Economics; Econometrics; Nonparametric statistics; Exchange rate; Random walk hypothesis; Wright; Variance (accounting); Mathematics; Statistics; Macroeconomics; Geography; History","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.002069842,0.0002701545,0.0006580233,0.000390989,0.0001020685,0.000128684,0.0002045413,0.0002092743,0.002020846],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00008313359,0.000330564,0.000123218,0.00005563354,0.0001461109,0.00060046,0.00004628998,0.0003409178,0.001026346],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001935764,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0000144718,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001031674,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002808,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9980674,0.00005551585,0.0008110921,0.0005736697,0.00000791733,0.0004844364],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9988989,0.0002781803,0.000278572,0.0003827988,0.000004071564,0.0001574768],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001125101,0.0002230824,0.09528116,0.0001730326,0.0002610635,0.00001922523,0.0055722,0.002949347,0.0002979403,0.8760716,0.0009857265,0.01704046],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.01196973,0.0001811874,0.147951,0.00002830679,0.00003302149,0.00008877998,0.0008940034,0.1605135,0.0005505926,0.6492648,0.02657185,0.001953276],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9707997,0.0006615725,0.0005917039,0.001303879,0.0007611732,0.0003187978,0.0003440909,0.00004253206,0.02517652],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9970639,0.0005168073,0.0002397864,0.0007906483,0.0002274054,0.00005240377,0.00005519442,0.00004076917,0.001013052],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2268069,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999146,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01925185004516955,"score_gpt":0.2000157737433025,"score_spread":0.1807639236981329,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}