{"id":"W2052723621","doi":"10.1080/13689880500178724","title":"Saving the Pound or Voting for Europe? Expectations for Referendums on the Constitution and the Euro","year":2005,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties","topic":"Electoral Systems and Political Participation","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":13,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto","funders":"","keywords":"Referendum; Constitution; Voting; Democracy; Political science; Pound (networking); Politics; Direct democracy; Accession; European union; Turnout; Brexit; Law; Political economy; Economics; Economic policy","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.007035317,0.0001238583,0.0002468339,0.0006961547,0.00212662,0.008146503,0.0004763328,0.002006147,0.01738328],"category_scores_gemma":[0.02308172,0.0001468956,0.0001592508,0.0007028486,0.003193242,0.003235199,0.001759052,0.003489597,0.001668609],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002010894,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0008933729,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003855349,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00592096,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9961721,0.002244828,0.0001067137,0.0002554004,0.0006499705,0.0005709865],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9863001,0.006571546,0.002033833,0.0004311338,0.00165742,0.003005966],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001002709,0.0006378824,0.1442124,0.0001299716,0.00004768066,0.0007070491,0.09065404,0.0008624311,0.000952329,0.5539733,0.1335466,0.07327364],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001052367,0.0004349436,0.2832005,0.000612182,0.00002599009,0.0003072244,0.2809384,0.002732653,0.0008094708,0.1690391,0.2616327,0.0001615848],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.6321009,0.001709012,0.001014212,0.1621217,0.0005743859,0.00001714868,0.0001464633,0.00002436692,0.2022917],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9935057,0.0002339935,0.00004779149,0.002078593,0.0001187211,0.000007492807,0.00002780233,0.00001305059,0.003966898],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01738328,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.05815285,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1856254514378696,"score_gpt":0.3961127946550845,"score_spread":0.2104873432172149,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}