{"id":"W2055335530","doi":"10.1111/desc.12152","title":"Numerical predictors of arithmetic success in grades 1–6","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Developmental Science","topic":"Cognitive and developmental aspects of mathematical skills","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":416,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Western University","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; Canadian Institutes of Health Research","keywords":"Arithmetic; Psychology; Numerical cognition; Mathematics; Cognition","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007756245,0.000472596,0.0003411771,0.001384025,0.0004069421,0.001014603,0.0005237537,0.0005258903,0.003568801],"category_scores_gemma":[0.006592788,0.0002756823,0.0004006556,0.0006464826,0.000590438,0.0005722896,0.001158164,0.0008642734,0.0008922184],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000268326,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002688343,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.008511814,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01562719,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9995731,0.00006209521,0.00004674358,0.0001145203,0.0001113332,0.00009229861],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9959444,0.0007313332,0.00224982,0.0002190111,0.0004315644,0.0004238368],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00005256737,0.00003237312,0.9966872,0.000008684934,0.0000157901,0.00005156257,0.000299138,0.0000980305,0.0002788342,0.00006688907,0.0001340151,0.002274825],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000001099382,0.00003025004,0.9995326,0.000005627769,0.000004569784,0.00004917804,0.00009652608,0.00007146675,0.00006980803,0.00003282556,0.0001043676,0.00000181814],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9989506,0.00009780933,0.00003934769,0.00003557485,0.000003654102,0.000002498566,0.0002249517,0.000005867513,0.0006397738],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9990842,0.00006506057,0.00007826756,0.00000557112,0.000002753967,0.000004163267,0.0003374667,0.000003225439,0.0004192148],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.008511814,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01692456,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0214411654291766,"score_gpt":0.2905640560950142,"score_spread":0.2691228906658376,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}