{"id":"W2056007064","doi":"10.1214/07-ejs126","title":"Optimal properties of some Bayesian inferences","year":2008,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Electronic Journal of Statistics","topic":"Statistical Mechanics and Entropy","field":"Physics and Astronomy","cited_by":8,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto","funders":"","keywords":"Surprise; Bayesian probability; Equivalence (formal languages); Bayes' theorem; Prior probability; Bayes factor; Bayes' rule; Bayesian inference","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0001369674,0.0001104453,0.0002790442,0.0000608003,0.00006766732,0.00001141946,0.000163754,0.00002128464,0.0002471695],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00003699463,0.00008497227,0.00006211284,0.00007309212,0.00008686045,0.000101937,0.00001993722,0.0002795052,0.000004975452],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00003283901,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004970419,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00003523388,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":6.89465e-7,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9988371,0.00003315427,0.0004489418,0.00007550122,0.0002612083,0.0003440956],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9992236,0.00006384679,0.0003334609,0.00008001146,0.0002183088,0.00008072442],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00005525688,0.0001150664,0.001374838,0.00001372546,0.0001356053,0.000009122504,0.0002035669,0.0002074779,0.00105765,0.9911687,0.0006983324,0.004960605],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.003510978,0.004698291,0.002748629,0.0002617797,0.0003668994,0.0001985056,0.001155378,0.04127531,0.03735953,0.9043597,0.003250246,0.0008147742],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.2538957,0.0004627586,0.7451746,0.00004838491,0.0001170921,0.00004523728,0.00006524912,0.000002853539,0.000188032],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.989076,0.0001403581,0.01044467,0.00001212961,0.0002073554,0.000001225924,0.000003708961,0.00001151647,0.0001030031],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.7351803,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3465069,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01437593574944648,"score_gpt":0.227984059872385,"score_spread":0.2136081241229386,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}