{"id":"W2056817232","doi":"10.1016/j.jpsychores.2008.03.011","title":"The not-so-crystal ball: The ongoing challenge of physician prognostication","year":2008,"lang":"en","type":"letter","venue":"Journal of Psychosomatic Research","topic":"Paranormal Experiences and Beliefs","field":"Psychology","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto; Health Sciences Centre; Sunnybrook Health Science Centre","funders":"","keywords":"Regret; Orbitofrontal cortex; Anterior cingulate cortex; Psychology; Neuroscience; Posterior cingulate; Cingulate cortex; Neural correlates of consciousness; Cognitive psychology; Prefrontal cortex; Functional magnetic resonance imaging; Cognition; Statistics; Central nervous system","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["research_integrity"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003129158,0.0002739146,0.0005683082,0.0003116789,0.0007371367,0.0001678729,0.002267157,0.0004268485,0.0001657958],"category_scores_gemma":[0.000375596,0.0001385482,0.0004153115,0.0006299294,0.001232034,0.0001550418,0.0001046266,0.004039705,0.0001624705],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0000866072,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003261952,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00006756823,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000008728226,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9932287,0.001533934,0.001366386,0.0002930761,0.002736606,0.0008412464],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9934092,0.003177417,0.001367937,0.001013661,0.0009385244,0.00009321775],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000239843,0.0003380565,0.000103402,0.0001803638,0.000495697,0.0002756581,0.01430721,0.000002261213,0.0002519471,0.001693154,0.9539989,0.0281135],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0006006061,0.0009843529,0.002778408,0.0006107527,0.00003938381,0.0002834981,0.002487254,0.00005247228,0.00003899077,0.00140949,0.9905377,0.0001771095],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"commentary","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.01739516,0.01137652,0.0001532308,0.8701761,0.003288867,0.001476389,0.00002009265,0.00001744026,0.09609617],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.666361,0.02956681,0.001116509,0.202236,0.06055339,0.000989504,0.00003840957,0.0005424575,0.0385959],"genre_candidate":"commentary","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.6679401,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.998258,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1232072416798851,"score_gpt":0.433444769910677,"score_spread":0.3102375282307919,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}