{"id":"W2059333369","doi":"10.1136/bmj.h870","title":"Use of GRADE for assessment of evidence about prognosis: rating confidence in estimates of event rates in broad categories of patients","year":2015,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"BMJ","topic":"Meta-analysis and systematic reviews","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":865,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Bruyère; Ottawa Hospital; University of Ottawa; Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences; University of Calgary; Dalhousie University; University Health Network; Toronto General Hospital; Alberta Health Services; McMaster University","funders":"","keywords":"Confidence interval; Event (particle physics); Statistics; Rating system; Medicine; Psychology; Mathematics; Economics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaresearch"],"consensus_categories":["metaresearch"],"category_scores_codex":[0.04404591,0.0001516519,0.002451489,0.0003221955,0.00001183886,0.0000556107,0.0006628228,0.00004666302,0.00005548508],"category_scores_gemma":[0.08022181,0.00007751687,0.0003853642,0.000930492,0.0001101713,0.0003983449,0.0000972839,0.00005028342,0.000002099289],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00002688871,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002508919,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0004814671,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0002562625,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9860565,0.002062678,0.008820894,0.0003661886,0.002546722,0.0001470087],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9823999,0.006777629,0.00747753,0.000937219,0.002355531,0.00005213362],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001790521,0.0001901216,0.9921786,0.0005095361,0.00004100101,2.884759e-7,0.001181565,0.001778934,0.0005090624,0.0008815874,0.0009709446,0.001740508],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0005060636,0.0003305238,0.9224004,0.002169425,0.0001278102,4.478607e-7,0.002079945,0.05515844,0.01166295,0.005312645,0.0001131987,0.0001381776],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9901922,0.0009725729,0.006486151,0.0001585465,0.00008274928,0.002047527,0.00002512993,9.216333e-7,0.00003415683],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9723587,0.0000210601,0.02736559,0.000007857212,0.000005055462,0.0001776999,0.000003539968,0.000004490424,0.0000560026],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.06977818,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9843559,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.8757885850934758,"score_gpt":0.6108259811741193,"score_spread":0.2649626039193564,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}