{"id":"W2059698435","doi":"10.1111/j.1539-6924.2009.01203.x","title":"Mapping Invasive Species Risks with Stochastic Models: A Cross‐Border United States‐Canada Application for <i>Sirex noctilio</i> Fabricius","year":2009,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Risk Analysis","topic":"Forest Insect Ecology and Management","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":62,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Natural Resources Canada; Canadian Forest Service","funders":"Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service","keywords":"Range (aeronautics); PEST analysis; Invasive species; Ecology; Introduced species; Geography; Biology; Engineering","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00110379,0.0007816178,0.0004846219,0.001035767,0.001347956,0.001393508,0.001428132,0.0008354424,0.001446734],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003434549,0.0005137741,0.0009665079,0.001506943,0.0005989607,0.0005107382,0.0008945082,0.0006761592,0.00009077452],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.01292827,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00934536,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.9710754,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.9562224,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9996506,0.0001196091,0.0000166407,0.0000886099,0.00005583847,0.00006857987],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9984107,0.0007420325,0.0001889437,0.00007598745,0.0004699875,0.0001123072],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00004602836,0.00005233285,0.02171062,0.00001810076,0.00007845901,0.00009188784,0.00006355046,0.9721466,0.0002507506,0.001725163,0.000608499,0.003207961],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001234962,0.00001405801,0.004500725,0.000004951143,0.00001844887,0.00001315945,0.0001053742,0.9943158,0.00009191462,0.0004255463,0.0004850126,0.00001257301],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9655428,0.0004144207,0.02468461,0.0007099237,0.0000256696,0.000114445,0.002020561,0.0002720781,0.006215449],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9850551,0.0002432695,0.01169732,0.00006568817,0.000007154418,0.00003967967,0.0009901715,0.00003581746,0.001865868],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02892464,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.09380162,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01266710320141607,"score_gpt":0.2534297738359924,"score_spread":0.2407626706345763,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}