{"id":"W2060423712","doi":"10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2009.11.005","title":"Climatic natural disasters, political risk, and international trade","year":2009,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Global Environmental Change","topic":"Disaster Management and Resilience","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":155,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Brock University","funders":"","keywords":"Ceteris paribus; Natural disaster; Economics; Gravity model of trade; Globalization; Politics; Robustness (evolution); Climate change; International economics; International trade; Development economics; Geography; Microeconomics; Political science; Market economy","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008498508,0.0001624992,0.0001695312,0.0009162186,0.0007559414,0.002582283,0.0001857447,0.0009735085,0.007045458],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003342902,0.00008918964,0.0002023815,0.002054826,0.001916844,0.001295347,0.000758085,0.0007316979,0.0002065394],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0008407972,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0008864952,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.007404626,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0168083,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997836,0.0001055156,0.00001012222,0.00001880975,0.00003002283,0.00005194877],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9975562,0.001367388,0.000590929,0.00006787293,0.0001035919,0.000314022],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0006103503,0.000896411,0.7098961,0.0001815412,0.0003106551,0.001173939,0.004985933,0.01439172,0.0003141076,0.1971589,0.01416434,0.05591603],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00006090627,0.0001841379,0.6913555,0.0001421733,0.0001291142,0.0006560098,0.02465489,0.007667283,0.0001413416,0.2545917,0.02037429,0.00004254486],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8994536,0.008464188,0.0006300182,0.01893708,0.0001558047,0.000009705929,0.0002559882,0.00001069478,0.07208296],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9966093,0.00191792,0.00003790675,0.0001932718,0.0001179433,0.000002307238,0.00002982764,0.000001581623,0.001089918],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.007404626,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02356935,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01837115866873342,"score_gpt":0.284299066283479,"score_spread":0.2659279076147456,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}