{"id":"W2063009876","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.708401","title":"Are Correlations of Stock Returns Justified by Subsequent Changes in National Outputs?","year":2002,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":37,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"McGill University","funders":"","keywords":"Stock (firearms); Economics; Econometrics; Financial economics; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008579793,0.0001133741,0.0003464193,0.0003602612,0.00009998412,0.00003357777,0.000179129,0.00007248698,0.0007428528],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0000854027,0.0001256033,0.0001271323,0.0003896759,0.00002871367,0.0001261421,0.0000210548,0.0005894361,0.0000764936],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0007526231,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00005886983,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0003939379,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.006405045,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9983435,0.00002288604,0.0005942358,0.0001932294,0.00008847435,0.0007577073],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9988917,0.00003037047,0.0008228819,0.0001280926,0.0000785673,0.00004841416],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001601374,0.0001506491,0.1400693,0.0000156547,0.0002896753,0.000002169998,0.0005151011,0.0003089421,0.00006431845,0.8549786,0.002745012,0.0008445545],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.004176936,0.0007384542,0.1097351,0.0001519139,0.00009368182,0.0002582416,0.004894027,0.03442127,0.00007622176,0.7524278,0.09165657,0.001369805],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9172587,0.0491813,0.007214088,0.006982542,0.0005932041,0.0003765478,0.0004455646,0.00003357242,0.01791441],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9906701,0.001602381,0.00001832221,0.00004137284,0.0001140071,0.000007371982,0.000009933906,0.00001400376,0.007522459],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1025508,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.8133717,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04332401227164676,"score_gpt":0.2227211999150671,"score_spread":0.1793971876434204,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}