{"id":"W2066132435","doi":"10.1111/j.1467-8276.2006.00889.x","title":"Pricing Weather Insurance with a Random Strike Price: The Ontario Ice‐Wine Harvest","year":2006,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"American Journal of Agricultural Economics","topic":"Agricultural risk and resilience","field":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences","cited_by":39,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Guelph","funders":"","keywords":"Event (particle physics); Product (mathematics); Weather patterns; Extreme weather; Environmental science; Wine; Business; Meteorology; Economics; Mathematics; Geography; Climate change; Geology; Oceanography","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002774599,0.0003057242,0.0005215269,0.00001565476,0.000366226,0.0001941471,0.0006088526,0.00005571713,0.00007741117],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00003125603,0.00006890001,0.0002492397,0.000464661,0.0003109806,0.0005226578,0.00005201663,0.0004125813,0.00001389362],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002097192,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00004615425,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01132944,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.03868952,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9983762,0.00007110356,0.0006335386,0.000266571,0.0002273662,0.0004252106],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9979789,0.0003634637,0.001145515,0.00007594303,0.0002895245,0.0001466178],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.002009904,0.0008383002,0.7549215,0.00001573413,0.0005544494,0.00006274028,0.002443152,0.02417394,0.06364505,0.0006777859,0.008738651,0.1419188],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0005365147,0.0008554732,0.9639271,0.00003667304,0.00003885968,0.0003204372,0.002175433,0.000004170784,0.0009073676,0.00004048622,0.03087627,0.0002811516],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9961796,0.0001825635,0.000009221012,0.002064532,0.0001748656,0.0002400378,0.00001097024,0.00002133013,0.001116842],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9967308,0.0002458777,0.0003324705,0.0001938393,0.001295592,0.000006367254,0.00001235495,0.000002086908,0.00118063],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2090057,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9952542,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.004013205288083606,"score_gpt":0.1617784734757684,"score_spread":0.1577652681876848,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}