{"id":"W2069621560","doi":"10.4236/ib.2014.63015","title":"Bai-Perron Estimates of OECD Natural Rates of Unemployment 1955-2011","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"iBusiness","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Lakehead University","funders":"","keywords":"Natural rate of unemployment; Unemployment; Economics; Natural (archaeology); Demographic economics; Unemployment rate; Econometrics; Macroeconomics; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003340086,0.0001573549,0.0005412672,0.0001786889,0.00003718387,0.00001576121,0.0002229674,0.00007134863,0.00112005],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00007361187,0.0001628166,0.0001010411,0.00006939542,0.0001073283,0.0002116099,0.00005048563,0.00007115977,0.0004358239],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00002487154,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00001038643,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00163972,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00002266502,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9988218,0.000009581105,0.0006521344,0.0002393781,0.00002449585,0.000252605],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9990597,0.00008199883,0.0004444669,0.0003434259,0.00002045106,0.00004999909],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002057118,0.0004747418,0.8603482,0.0007250439,0.0003333419,0.000002102135,0.001171036,0.01461479,0.001615795,0.1061779,0.0068204,0.007511021],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001929458,0.0002322048,0.7700768,0.00008084327,0.00003527302,0.00001080267,0.0000556126,0.1477982,0.01960173,0.04391417,0.01547864,0.0007862978],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9922644,0.001166773,0.0006825122,0.0004456538,0.0005535531,0.0001102548,0.00009914724,0.00001811869,0.004659607],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9985932,0.00004932211,0.000818065,0.0001174117,0.00009762728,0.000005253664,0.00003070695,0.0000196959,0.0002687615],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1331834,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9997931,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05815189699468434,"score_gpt":0.2438441191624434,"score_spread":0.185692222167759,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}