{"id":"W2070053494","doi":"10.1016/j.jpolmod.2006.01.001","title":"The impossible relationship between the deficit and the exchange rate","year":2006,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Policy Modeling","topic":"Fiscal Policies and Political Economy","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":6,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"École Nationale d'Administration Publique; Université du Québec à Montréal","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Deficit spending; Exchange rate; Depreciation (economics); Monetary economics; Debt; Macroeconomics; Fiscal deficit; Government debt; Current account; Monetary policy; Government (linguistics); Government budget; Interest rate; Public finance","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002175089,0.00009966585,0.0002579808,0.0001017144,0.0005761936,0.0002336118,0.0002872969,0.0000584993,0.000007692827],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0005411265,0.00005065963,0.0001614335,0.0001481118,0.0001976264,0.0001530709,0.00006017978,0.0003284643,0.00002568],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00006675677,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00003798833,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003201297,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00005814378,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9986907,0.00005975688,0.0008277834,0.00008652133,0.00003647496,0.000298767],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9978955,0.001370507,0.0004367048,0.0001948658,0.00004014052,0.00006232149],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001381444,0.000003881162,0.01197275,0.000005453378,0.00001811687,2.140543e-7,0.0002164644,0.003623477,1.998752e-7,0.9830248,0.0009735001,0.0001473812],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000642611,0.00002231121,0.02084971,0.000009585004,0.00001596258,0.00001252435,0.000112572,0.04393334,0.000001447534,0.9130283,0.02128795,0.0000836705],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7654147,0.01409176,0.01362858,0.1599958,0.0002783307,0.0002331266,0.0000552895,0.00001091185,0.04629153],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9963291,0.0002501112,0.00008385593,0.0008794142,0.001837649,0.000003937031,6.266786e-7,0.0000132099,0.0006020947],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2309144,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.4839425,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05890861279055737,"score_gpt":0.2628831693556982,"score_spread":0.2039745565651408,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}