{"id":"W2072755549","doi":"10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2011.04.001","title":"Population heterogeneity, state dependence and sexual offender recidivism: The aging process and the lost predictive impact of prior criminal charges over time","year":2011,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Criminal Justice","topic":"Psychopathy, Forensic Psychiatry, Sexual Offending","field":"Psychology","cited_by":73,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Simon Fraser University","funders":"Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada","keywords":"Recidivism; Population; Sex offender; Psychology; Demography; Proportional hazards model; Criminology; Statistics; Sociology; Mathematics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003679009,0.0001976903,0.0004510939,0.001000833,0.0007835638,0.001448555,0.0006329854,0.001173877,0.00244541],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01489939,0.0003446614,0.0007504781,0.0008895141,0.0009375642,0.001762307,0.000988636,0.001442112,0.0002327288],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003530367,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0005114312,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01442758,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01798419,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9993144,0.0002891198,0.00005664252,0.000167403,0.00005388398,0.0001186521],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9928444,0.003000265,0.001385622,0.001701888,0.0003900963,0.000677726],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002029919,0.00007433024,0.9933481,0.000006525561,0.000188518,0.00007960709,0.0002349036,0.0003018666,0.0001496707,0.0002967872,0.0001433022,0.004973468],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000004686009,0.00006163712,0.9959363,0.000007800863,0.0001006029,0.0001479515,0.0002860556,0.002321219,0.00004228116,0.0009114586,0.0001705458,0.000009572824],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9980247,0.0005302202,0.0005300016,0.0003305565,0.00002300639,0.000005779723,0.000141166,0.000006003179,0.0004086228],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9995677,0.0001011704,0.00006123183,0.00002977081,0.00001729513,0.000002103142,0.00007814332,0.000002806676,0.0001397972],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01442758,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02868718,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0460424794424425,"score_gpt":0.350638774564979,"score_spread":0.3045962951225366,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}