{"id":"W2072755549","doi":"10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2011.04.001","title":"Population heterogeneity, state dependence and sexual offender recidivism: The aging process and the lost predictive impact of prior criminal charges over time","year":2011,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Criminal Justice","topic":"Psychopathy, Forensic Psychiatry, Sexual Offending","field":"Psychology","cited_by":73,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Simon Fraser University","funders":"Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada","keywords":"Recidivism; Population; Sex offender; Psychology; Demography; Proportional hazards model; Criminology; Statistics; Sociology; Mathematics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001601118,0.0003037405,0.0005057005,0.0001912138,0.0002105516,0.00005996791,0.000406792,0.00009964994,0.0001214397],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002351093,0.0001725694,0.0001274732,0.000165663,0.0004891854,0.0004596351,0.00009375052,0.0005643622,0.000007224632],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00006131345,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0000851047,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0003095682,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00002620203,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9974932,0.0004602177,0.0007723019,0.000309009,0.0005697998,0.0003954769],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9974175,0.0005387368,0.001249365,0.0003070512,0.0003144852,0.0001728809],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"qualitative","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.05949621,0.001998285,0.272951,0.002868772,0.00501247,0.0005316787,0.5788179,0.0003462545,0.006975948,0.003050658,0.01257264,0.05537816],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.003196055,0.002163323,0.9648365,0.0002392453,0.003752628,0.003082411,0.02003992,0.0006699685,0.0002959667,0.00143198,0.000009180413,0.00028278],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9921283,0.001584426,0.0007565953,0.0001147417,0.004386495,0.0003041867,0.00003116169,0.00001058065,0.0006835359],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9986705,0.00006825817,0.0002762172,0.0001621254,0.0007091286,0.000004476899,0.000001636124,0.00003410301,0.0000735918],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.6918855,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.7037176,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0460424794424425,"score_gpt":0.350638774564979,"score_spread":0.3045962951225366,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}