{"id":"W2074055554","doi":"10.1007/s00382-002-0231-2","title":"Hybrid coupled models of the tropical Pacific - II ENSO prediction","year":2002,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Climate Dynamics","topic":"Climate variability and models","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":35,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"National Institutes of Natural Sciences","keywords":"Climatology; Sea surface temperature; El Niño Southern Oscillation; Wind stress; Nonlinear system; Atmosphere (unit); Atmospheric model; Canonical correlation; Environmental science; Oscillation (cell signaling); Forecast skill; Geology; Meteorology; Physics; Mathematics; Oceanography; Statistics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.000304994,0.000440086,0.0004807867,0.0002162049,0.0003406766,0.001021129,0.0008258303,0.000659586,0.0022888],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0009171793,0.0004212839,0.000419317,0.0004156069,0.0004050292,0.0009248473,0.0007509531,0.0006209455,0.0001928131],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0007823767,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0007319549,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.03411854,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02227399,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999891,0.0000348545,0.00000701723,0.00003005121,0.00001849976,0.00001852076],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.999725,0.0001213693,0.00003494626,0.00003051705,0.0000520058,0.00003622594],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00005137856,0.00001928442,0.0009278393,0.000007637264,0.00003255992,0.00001372671,0.0000127854,0.9951972,0.0002555815,0.00143647,0.0002589941,0.001786555],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000013364,0.000005916037,0.0002998645,6.401011e-7,0.000006381175,0.000001412055,0.000002878131,0.9987381,0.00006712637,0.0007452741,0.0001159352,0.000003116938],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8522602,0.000589854,0.1196164,0.0008340712,0.0003195638,0.00005697181,0.002081667,0.001056063,0.02318525],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.993164,0.00008200657,0.003934309,0.00003130328,0.00003395409,0.00003116319,0.0002890066,0.00003512403,0.002399022],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.03411854,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.06783986,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01551466863904969,"score_gpt":0.1964782811108847,"score_spread":0.180963612471835,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}