{"id":"W2074055554","doi":"10.1007/s00382-002-0231-2","title":"Hybrid coupled models of the tropical Pacific - II ENSO prediction","year":2002,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Climate Dynamics","topic":"Climate variability and models","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":35,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"National Institutes of Natural Sciences","keywords":"Climatology; Sea surface temperature; El Niño Southern Oscillation; Wind stress; Nonlinear system; Atmosphere (unit); Atmospheric model; Canonical correlation; Environmental science; Oscillation (cell signaling); Forecast skill; Geology; Meteorology; Physics; Mathematics; Oceanography; Statistics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0001433998,0.0001239005,0.0001578859,0.00001547006,0.0002545195,0.00001370892,0.0002595359,0.00007156736,0.001161324],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00002516515,0.00009325897,0.0001070817,0.0001221062,0.0003041589,0.0001822523,0.0003450412,0.0001448504,0.0000694211],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000210478,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00000293019,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00003875885,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00004139377,"domain_scores_codex":[0.998825,0.00004631302,0.0003036524,0.0002651564,0.0002728279,0.0002870785],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993071,0.00004079382,0.00009825733,0.0004817462,0.00001043673,0.0000616766],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001240335,0.002154555,0.2385164,0.0001876442,0.00005648928,0.000008617189,0.003094112,0.69548,0.008702834,0.04414454,0.002736279,0.004794498],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002303801,0.00005337615,0.008529007,0.00001167109,0.00002214162,0.000009043947,0.00005445034,0.986128,0.00005646796,0.004609774,0.0002052354,0.00009041283],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9815571,0.000009831742,0.002844773,0.0003757789,0.0002614191,0.0002306956,0.0002556509,0.00005374202,0.01441099],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9990651,0.0001988983,0.0002652377,0.00005328458,0.00001582085,0.00001162467,0.0000206159,0.00001381325,0.0003556262],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2906481,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9997517,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01551466863904969,"score_gpt":0.1964782811108847,"score_spread":0.180963612471835,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}