{"id":"W2079429508","doi":"10.1002/cbm.644","title":"The validity of the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (VRAG) in predicting criminal recidivism","year":2007,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Criminal Behaviour and Mental Health","topic":"Psychopathy, Forensic Psychiatry, Sexual Offending","field":"Psychology","cited_by":52,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Recidivism; Conviction; Predictive validity; Psychology; Sample (material); Risk assessment; Demography; Statistics; Psychiatry; Clinical psychology; Law; Mathematics; Political science; Sociology; Computer security","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003627612,0.0002641555,0.0003127556,0.0001053546,0.0006952604,0.00002525262,0.0004289644,0.0001203673,0.00002264856],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001170968,0.000181372,0.000111765,0.0002351912,0.0004289005,0.00008149162,0.0001483577,0.0006732828,0.000007034185],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001900331,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001155156,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003225035,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001652435,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9968392,0.0004821965,0.0009217413,0.0004901147,0.0004349045,0.0008319018],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9981262,0.0004750569,0.0005579375,0.0005494292,0.00004051076,0.0002508845],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003800354,0.0003548675,0.9013591,0.00006814163,0.00001325843,0.00001181934,0.01334942,3.336601e-7,0.0001290659,0.0008259361,0.009309961,0.07419799],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0009936839,0.0006330429,0.9622796,0.0002935566,0.0000667656,0.0002028525,0.03371724,0.0000100486,0.0002864055,0.000192643,0.001153693,0.000170499],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9601513,0.001243508,0.0001513885,0.0004583951,0.0354286,0.0005346601,0.00008032355,0.00003239658,0.001919481],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9985318,0.000272982,0.0003078963,0.0002603537,0.0004500807,0.00001716095,0.000009930227,0.00002871934,0.0001211011],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.07402749,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.7396134,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04657499456149564,"score_gpt":0.3960601277513605,"score_spread":0.3494851331898648,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}