{"id":"W2080579036","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2054696","title":"Euro Area Sovereign Debt Crisis: Can Contagion Spread from the Periphery to the Core?","year":2012,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Credit Risk and Financial Regulations","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":14,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Bank of Canada; Government of Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Sovereign debt; Financial contagion; Core (optical fiber); Sovereignty; Debt crisis; Economics; Financial system; Monetary economics; Business; International economics; Financial crisis; Debt; Keynesian economics; Political science; Macroeconomics; Engineering","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001387459,0.0001659237,0.0002383638,0.0000643685,0.0005708455,0.0001190542,0.0004698734,0.00007745168,0.0001548142],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001854424,0.0001150779,0.0001781902,0.0002272288,0.00003910755,0.0001919135,0.00005705782,0.0009828928,0.0002814065],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005933444,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002809974,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002105914,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.005096263,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9977236,0.00003136699,0.0004369634,0.0002028763,0.00007926284,0.001525873],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9990817,0.0001092038,0.0002741384,0.0003667198,0.00004251622,0.0001257608],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00003346129,0.00004585013,0.1107162,4.969475e-7,0.00008714206,5.648822e-7,0.001326299,0.00006909615,0.00001236481,0.8697345,0.01070552,0.007268581],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000437519,0.0001198746,0.2493028,0.00001041099,0.00003580004,0.00007257929,0.003433687,0.0001590277,0.00001586039,0.5206943,0.2254395,0.0002786287],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9248836,0.0275453,0.02052024,0.01527205,0.001832694,0.0003569405,0.000212316,0.0000337655,0.009343121],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.993719,0.002675083,0.00004629595,0.0007191145,0.00191116,0.00001660876,0.0000132624,0.0000284982,0.0008709318],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3490401,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.4692741,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0277072595464813,"score_gpt":0.2214642975267539,"score_spread":0.1937570379802726,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}