{"id":"W2080897276","doi":"10.1108/15265941111100030","title":"Airfare price insurance: a real option model","year":2010,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"The Journal of Risk Finance","topic":"Aviation Industry Analysis and Trends","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":7,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Ontario Tech University","funders":"","keywords":"Ticket; Volatility (finance); Revenue; Strike price; Economics; Liberian dollar; Luck; Business; Price discrimination; Actuarial science; Financial economics; Microeconomics; Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001192329,0.00009483445,0.000265456,0.0001140582,0.0001781932,0.00003218414,0.0003286815,0.0000996461,0.00008244632],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001638979,0.00007342049,0.0001382677,0.0002904673,0.00005343873,0.0002863911,0.00002415126,0.0006908954,0.00007121756],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00002768106,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002908174,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00007061272,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00002928689,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9990355,0.00002141044,0.0006309266,0.0001038574,0.00006244172,0.00014589],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9979983,0.00006394723,0.001519773,0.0002740081,0.0001060316,0.00003796087],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001778304,0.0002482694,0.4348459,0.00001162915,0.0001520764,0.000007550975,0.002465409,0.1502234,0.0002551479,0.3960829,0.003800517,0.01172939],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0009565688,0.00008062622,0.8286205,0.00002485959,0.00004784885,0.00006246851,0.00009997004,0.07275742,0.0001751361,0.07651056,0.02038654,0.0002775122],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9739437,0.0005947273,0.01867105,0.000591674,0.0003296056,0.00003141036,0.00008580298,0.000006649379,0.005745339],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9936096,0.003513701,0.001839152,0.00004417186,0.0002324213,0.000001447639,0.000001392692,0.000009839688,0.0007482871],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3937746,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3001635,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02018785361306195,"score_gpt":0.2258680187831176,"score_spread":0.2056801651700556,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}