{"id":"W2080996505","doi":"10.1111/j.1744-7976.2007.00098.x","title":"Price Dynamics in U.S. Grain and Freight Markets","year":2007,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d agroeconomie","topic":"Global trade and economics","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":32,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Cointegration; Arbitrage; Economics; Economy; Welfare economics; Geography; Financial economics; Econometrics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001697489,0.0004061888,0.001016056,0.001009576,0.0001692939,0.0002259799,0.0006264407,0.0003001346,0.0003217236],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001631684,0.0004510848,0.0002621855,0.0002612712,0.0001670128,0.0009553029,0.00003926555,0.0005038868,0.0001029849],"about_ca_system_candidate":true,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.005218721,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000271546,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.03825392,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.8727319,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9960207,0.00001805821,0.002078392,0.0005647244,0.000007334286,0.001310825],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9964759,0.0001233475,0.001155672,0.0002912547,0.00007610584,0.001877671],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00007092895,0.0000355648,0.2921449,0.00005080787,0.0001905997,0.0002276591,0.001126855,0.000496907,0.000004399963,0.7013925,0.002139144,0.002119676],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001622394,0.0002315165,0.8614492,0.00007315447,0.00001903309,0.001168731,0.002758707,0.0006431302,0.00001819377,0.04476548,0.08627529,0.000975124],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9643486,0.001763317,0.0000374904,0.003504669,0.001879166,0.0002416524,0.0003596257,0.00000821404,0.02785723],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9972347,0.0003915828,0.0005439574,0.0006333813,0.000407281,0.000004342563,0.00004134302,0.00003759793,0.0007057858],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.834478,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9997941,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02513915325299154,"score_gpt":0.1536318853994253,"score_spread":0.1284927321464338,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}