{"id":"W2082098391","doi":"10.1007/s11069-015-1628-7","title":"The potential of recurrent epidemics and pandemics in a highly mobile global society","year":2015,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Natural Hazards","topic":"Viral Infections and Outbreaks Research","field":"Medicine","cited_by":5,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"York University","funders":"","keywords":"Pandemic; Outbreak; Developing country; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Population; Infectious disease (medical specialty); Geography; Risk analysis (engineering); Development economics; Environmental planning; Environmental health; Medicine; Economic growth; Virology; Disease; Economics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002671529,0.0003301848,0.0002865753,0.0009484938,0.001932323,0.003954156,0.0008239564,0.001915882,0.004643305],"category_scores_gemma":[0.009313972,0.0002059834,0.0004179458,0.0008259852,0.002740881,0.004442315,0.002741437,0.001466321,0.0004767047],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001251089,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001230768,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00272366,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.003937812,"domain_scores_codex":[0.998672,0.0006803563,0.00003728523,0.000136389,0.0001828336,0.0002910973],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9951208,0.002015104,0.001234881,0.000513716,0.0004376005,0.0006777625],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0009794785,0.0004724895,0.4149801,0.0008402176,0.0006380996,0.009333437,0.0390441,0.01753885,0.0107423,0.2519355,0.02069259,0.2328029],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001077734,0.001887801,0.2661279,0.0008706536,0.0004119813,0.01101529,0.1537049,0.02685791,0.002560602,0.4159277,0.120247,0.0002803518],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9324542,0.00498626,0.00747473,0.02247129,0.0003986172,0.00005039517,0.0002444373,0.00007386399,0.03184626],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9962136,0.001500381,0.0006487878,0.0004554019,0.0002428398,0.00001442305,0.0000352499,0.000004798361,0.0008844482],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.004643305,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01553333,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02171039179553789,"score_gpt":0.3500856939980931,"score_spread":0.3283753022025552,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}