{"id":"W2089063492","doi":"10.1002/cpp.336","title":"Confidence in psychodiagnosis: what makes us so sure?","year":2002,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Clinical Psychology & Psychotherapy","topic":"Academic and Historical Perspectives in Psychology","field":"Psychology","cited_by":18,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McGill University; University of Ottawa","funders":"","keywords":"Overconfidence effect; Psychology; Context (archaeology); Variance (accounting); Confidence interval; Task (project management); Social psychology; Clinical psychology; Applied psychology; Cognitive psychology; Developmental psychology; Statistics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","sts","research_integrity","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["research_integrity","insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.00237122,0.0008736212,0.00163727,0.0007020191,0.000274967,0.0001234297,0.002032046,0.002496612,0.03614032],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001747427,0.0008682681,0.0007499455,0.001334319,0.003192822,0.0005510667,0.00003368254,0.003552394,0.009745684],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001425653,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00003373432,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00006311225,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00009906352,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9897401,0.002005098,0.00283347,0.00317971,0.0004761068,0.001765509],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9938933,0.001942435,0.0007223551,0.002663322,0.0001519836,0.0006266279],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001647358,0.006282127,0.1187836,0.000009281679,0.0004111944,0.0002912606,0.005590268,0.000001979151,0.00008207527,0.054138,0.6275631,0.1851997],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.009613633,0.001527522,0.1781795,0.0001240374,0.00004635012,0.0002276325,0.0008481934,0.00001929952,0.000002192476,0.08847047,0.7198958,0.001045346],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.2396864,0.1735828,0.0103065,0.07774962,0.08196878,0.002812302,0.00004067581,0.001122987,0.4127299],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.6531617,0.1732908,0.001764618,0.1495729,0.004353146,0.0009049512,0.00001589005,0.0003576984,0.01657835],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.4134753,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9995199,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.18571447728859,"score_gpt":0.502753521765256,"score_spread":0.317039044476666,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}